Modeling the Risks of Nuclear Power before Three Mile Island
In January 1974, I was asked to create a model of the risks of nuclear power plant accidents for theContinue Reading
Category: Risk Data Analytics
COVID19 Is Not a Black Swan
We hear “Black Swan” event thrown around as if the COVID19 virus was totally unanticipated. Yes its timing and specificContinue Reading
The First Time They Called Me a God
When I was about fifteen years old, we lived beside a golf course – Bonnie Briar Country Club. To beContinue Reading
When You Are Totally in the Dark
One minute I was playing squash with my friend Barry, the next minute I was totally in the dark. IContinue Reading
Simulation Is Not on the Exams, A Tale of Disruption
It was 1975. The Travelers had just quoted us at Marsh (UT’s insurance broker) $24 million for renewal of UnitedContinue Reading
And Then the DC-10 Tail Engine Exploded
In November of 1989, I was flying on a DC-10 from LAX to Chicago with a short layover in MinneapolisContinue Reading
Risk Analysis of the Pygmies
Years ago, my college professor Paul Breer (Cornell University) had us read The Forest People by Colin Turnbull, which describesContinue Reading
Cantorbury Tales 